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Red54
695711.9
70221.1
76079.8
Blue67
401417.4
263715.9
412320.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50462030406070805467

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
702
#20
21.10.5
20.821.3
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End3.4
red by 1.0
4123
#15
20.20.9
18.319.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End4.3
Second
6957
#37
11.90.5
14.715.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End2.9
blue by 5.6
4014
#17
17.40.9
13.013.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Third
7607
#35
9.80.5
11.612.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.4
blue by 6.0
2637
#34
15.90.9
12.413.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed