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Red41
607215.7
641720.4
98014.7
Blue70
491321.8
512424.1
58917.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486102040801004170

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6417
#22
20.40.5
15.414.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.6
End5.6
blue by 3.7
5124
#14
24.10.6
22.823.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End5.3
Second
6072
#31
15.70.3
15.415.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End3.0
blue by 6.1
4913
#11
21.80.6
21.221.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End5.0
Third
980
#29
14.70.3
15.014.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End3.5
blue by 2.7
589
#8
17.40.6
14.014.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned