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Red75
375918.9
586913.9
265929.7
Blue74
207329.2
585714.5
69117.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545435404550606570757574

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.71.4
23.024.4
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End7.1
red by 0.5
29.21.5
23.324.8
Auto3.7
Teleop20.8
End4.8
Second
3759
#12
18.91.4
15.416.9
Auto2.4
Teleop13.1
End3.4
red by 1.5
691
#24
17.41.5
15.817.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
5869
#16
13.91.4
12.213.7
Auto2.0
Teleop5.4
End6.6
blue by 0.5
5857
#30
14.51.5
12.213.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsEarned