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Red78
347624.4
395316.8
375918.9
Blue73
265929.7
412320.2
585714.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52602040801007873

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#13
24.41.7
19.220.9
Auto2.8
Teleop16.2
End5.4
blue by 5.3
29.71.1
24.425.4
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End7.1
Second
3759
#12
18.91.7
16.918.6
Auto2.4
Teleop13.1
End3.4
blue by 1.3
4123
#15
20.21.1
19.220.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End4.3
Third
16.81.7
13.615.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End7.8
red by 2.3
5857
#30
14.51.1
13.714.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsEarned49%HAB Docking oddsMissed