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Red50
69117.4
641720.4
501227.3
Blue60
98014.7
258423.1
58510.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63532030407080901005060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.9
27.626.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End4.3
red by 4.2
23.10.7
23.123.8
Auto3.6
Teleop14.3
End5.2
Second
6417
#22
20.41.4
14.913.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.6
End5.6
red by 5.6
980
#29
14.70.7
14.715.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End3.5
Third
691
#24
17.40.9
17.416.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 7.2
585
#33
10.20.7
12.112.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsEarned