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Red42
585714.5
510217.3
607215.7
Blue42
76079.8
39920.0
395316.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42381020305060704242

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5102
#23
17.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End4.4
blue by 2.7
399
#19
20.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End3.0
Second
6072
#31
15.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End3.0
blue by 1.0
16.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End7.8
Third
5857
#30
14.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End2.4
red by 4.6
7607
#35
9.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed39%HAB Docking oddsEarned