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Red108
501227.3
167841.3
512424.1
Blue45
58917.4
249317.3
606019.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions814720406010010845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.32.1
35.037.1
Auto4.7
Teleop25.3
End11.3
red by 22.2
6060
#18
19.10.2
19.319.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End3.9
Second
27.32.1
22.224.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End4.3
red by 10.0
589
#8
17.40.2
11.211.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End6.8
Third
5124
#14
24.12.5
19.722.3
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End5.3
red by 6.8
2493
#28
17.30.2
13.813.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
60%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsEarned