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Red85
69622.2
581832.0
744718.3
Blue41
696010.4
416.0
212226.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75572040801008541

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.3
31.031.3
Auto5.2
Teleop20.2
End6.6
red by 5.2
2122
#13
26.90.9
26.926.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.3
End7.0
Second
696
#9
22.20.3
22.723.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End7.2
red by 6.3
4
#31
16.00.9
16.715.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End4.0
Third
7447
#28
18.30.3
17.317.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.1
End3.2
red by 8.0
6960
#29
10.40.9
10.89.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsEarned71%HAB Docking oddsMissed