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Red100
330927.8
519923.0
364726.8
Blue84
427623.6
407921.8
501226.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78755060709010010084

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.81.7
26.328.0
Auto2.9
Teleop18.3
End6.6
red by 1.0
5012
#12
26.80.9
27.228.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End4.1
Second
3647
#11
26.81.7
24.526.2
Auto5.6
Teleop18.4
End2.8
red by 3.1
23.60.9
23.624.4
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.7
Third
23.01.7
23.425.1
Auto3.2
Teleop13.8
End6.0
red by 1.2
4079
#10
21.80.9
20.521.3
Auto4.2
Teleop9.2
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
88%Rocket oddsEarned21%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsMissed58%HAB Docking oddsEarned