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Red38
688415.0
10014.3
84010.2
Blue22
264310.6
41869.2
541916.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43411020305060703822

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6884
#16
15.00.2
14.214.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.8
End1.3
blue by 1.9
5419
#27
16.91.4
19.518.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End5.1
Second
100
#18
14.30.2
15.715.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End3.8
red by 3.8
2643
#22
10.61.4
9.68.2
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End2.3
Third
840
#24
10.20.2
10.410.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End2.9
red by 1.0
4186
#34
9.21.4
10.28.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed