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Red28
64923.7
84112.0
490415.1
Blue74
84624.6
186826.6
804814.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61572040801002874

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#4
23.72.0
25.223.2
Auto3.7
Teleop13.3
End6.6
blue by 2.9
26.61.3
20.421.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End8.6
Second
4904
#10
15.12.0
18.316.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.8
End2.1
blue by 9.5
846
#3
24.61.3
24.525.8
Auto3.4
Teleop15.1
End6.1
Third
841
#25
12.02.0
14.612.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End3.6
blue by 2.1
14.12.2
9.111.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
14%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed69%HAB Docking oddsEarned