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Qual 242019 CalGames
Red40
42559.5
77777.3
84624.6
Blue38
10014.3
696218.5
196712.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50480204060801004038

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#3
24.60.5
25.8→25.3
Auto3.4
Teleop15.1
End6.1
red by 6.1
6962
#5
18.50.7
16.0→15.3
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Second
4255
#31
9.50.5
12.4→11.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End3.8
blue by 4.8
100
#18
14.30.7
15.6→14.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End3.8
Third
7777
#29
7.30.5
9.3→8.8
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 4.7
1967
#35
12.00.7
13.9→13.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed