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Red33
66812.0
42559.5
135112.0
Blue74
688415.0
804814.1
64923.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404902060803374

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
#21
12.00.3
13.513.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End2.9
blue by 11.7
649
#4
23.71.4
22.123.5
Auto3.7
Teleop13.3
End6.6
Second
1351
#28
12.00.3
12.312.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End1.0
blue by 3.0
6884
#16
15.01.4
13.715.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.8
End1.3
Third
4255
#31
9.50.3
11.911.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End3.8
blue by 4.6
14.12.4
10.913.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsEarned