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Qual 352019 CalGames
Red36
248911.9
10014.3
264310.6
Blue35
54305.8
19923.1
67017.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404901020306070803635

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#18
14.30.1
14.9→14.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End3.8
blue by 8.8
199
#1
23.10.9
22.9→22.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End6.9
Second
2489
#15
11.90.1
13.4→13.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End1.1
blue by 5.3
670
#17
17.10.9
17.2→16.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Third
2643
#22
10.60.1
9.9→9.7
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End2.3
red by 4.7
5430
#36
5.80.9
6.0→5.1
Auto0.9
Teleop2.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed