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Red43
78029.2
359817.7
661211.0
Blue52
69819.8
617417.1
665717.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4032102050604352

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.6
16.816.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End7.2
red by 0.4
6657
#15
17.31.2
13.815.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End2.7
Second
6612
#58
11.00.6
11.310.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End2.2
blue by 6.0
6174
#30
17.12.0
7.59.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
Third
7802
#52
9.20.6
10.29.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End2.7
blue by 0.5
6981
#54
9.81.2
9.310.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed