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Red66
107221.6
214113.8
469820.2
Blue29
66197.5
145815.0
594015.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524920304060706629

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#49
21.60.9
17.118.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End1.5
red by 6.1
5940
#37
15.51.1
18.517.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End2.6
Second
4698
#20
20.20.9
18.118.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.7
End2.5
red by 5.2
1458
#25
15.01.9
15.513.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End3.0
Third
2141
#53
13.81.5
14.516.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.8
red by 6.3
6619
#59
7.51.9
12.210.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed