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Red29
66449.5
787013.4
502710.7
Blue52
366912.4
587114.7
713714.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37401020305060702952

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7870
#46
13.41.6
11.09.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End3.4
blue by 1.4
5871
#18
14.71.5
15.617.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End4.4
Second
5027
#38
10.71.6
10.18.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End1.8
blue by 3.9
7137
#17
14.70.9
12.213.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.4
End4.0
Third
6644
#43
9.51.6
13.712.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End1.0
blue by 3.0
3669
#24
12.40.9
10.511.4
Auto5.7
Teleop4.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsEarned