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Red80
413516.9
97337.0
348211.2
Blue49
318911.7
325717.0
630513.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664110203050607080908049

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#3
37.00.9
33.234.1
Auto5.5
Teleop22.1
End9.4
red by 20.0
3257
#48
17.00.5
16.517.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.5
End5.5
Second
4135
#11
16.90.9
15.416.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End4.5
red by 3.8
6305
#35
13.20.5
13.313.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End2.9
Third
3482
#22
11.21.6
14.215.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End3.9
blue by 0.5
3189
#47
11.70.5
8.79.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
78%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed