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Red80
752914.5
132343.1
69819.8
Blue64
97337.0
247314.2
543011.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64633040507080901008064

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.3
38.139.4
Auto4.0
Teleop28.6
End10.6
red by 6.2
973
#3
37.00.1
34.134.0
Auto5.5
Teleop22.1
End9.4
Second
7529
#19
14.51.3
12.713.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.3
red by 0.4
2473
#45
14.20.2
16.316.1
Auto2.7
Teleop9.6
End1.9
Third
6981
#54
9.81.3
10.211.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End2.5
blue by 1.2
5430
#36
11.00.2
9.29.1
Auto1.8
Teleop5.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
26%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsEarned84%HAB Docking oddsEarned