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Red96
167835.8
283925.4
630513.2
Blue55
548015.0
550727.2
587114.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706340801009655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.81.1
30.631.7
Auto5.0
Teleop22.9
End7.9
red by 8.6
27.20.3
27.327.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End8.2
Second
25.41.1
22.123.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.6
End7.5
red by 10.4
5480
#44
15.00.5
15.414.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End2.8
Third
6305
#35
13.21.1
13.814.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End2.9
blue by 1.5
5871
#18
14.70.5
17.116.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
14%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
78%HAB Docking oddsEarned76%HAB Docking oddsEarned