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Red45
325717.0
105618.5
688311.7
Blue42
550727.2
752914.5
464312.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4855102030406070804542

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1056
#31
18.50.4
15.615.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End4.3
blue by 8.7
27.20.9
27.026.1
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End8.2
Second
3257
#48
17.00.2
18.117.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.5
End5.5
red by 2.4
7529
#19
14.50.9
13.312.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Third
6883
#42
11.70.4
11.711.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End1.6
blue by 1.2
4643
#10
12.91.5
12.310.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed67%HAB Docking oddsMissed