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Red35
325015.2
348211.2
220416.6
Blue47
587513.0
469820.2
525010.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4838203060703547

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2204
#40
16.61.5
15.213.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End3.6
blue by 3.6
4698
#20
20.20.7
18.719.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.7
End2.5
Second
3250
#51
15.20.9
13.412.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End4.9
red by 2.2
5875
#27
13.01.2
9.010.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Third
3482
#22
11.21.5
16.515.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End3.9
red by 1.1
5250
#33
10.11.2
8.19.3
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed