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Red40
78029.2
691819.9
787013.4
Blue60
247314.2
255127.0
70117.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4359102030507080904060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.1
19.619.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End4.1
blue by 7.0
27.00.1
23.823.8
Auto3.7
Teleop17.6
End5.7
Second
7870
#46
13.40.1
11.111.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End3.4
blue by 4.6
701
#13
17.90.1
16.316.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.7
End2.7
Third
7802
#52
9.20.1
10.410.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End2.7
blue by 4.9
2473
#45
14.20.1
15.916.0
Auto2.7
Teleop9.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed