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Red29
66197.5
366912.4
19918.8
Blue47
766319.4
666212.1
527414.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342253035455055602947

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199
#26
18.81.3
20.619.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.1
End5.4
blue by 0.6
19.40.5
17.818.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End3.0
Second
3669
#24
12.40.8
11.210.5
Auto5.7
Teleop4.3
End2.4
blue by 2.2
5274
#34
14.60.5
13.013.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End3.6
Third
6619
#59
7.51.3
8.57.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End1.5
blue by 4.5
6662
#28
12.10.5
8.79.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed