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Red50
302111.6
210225.2
694821.6
Blue31
39914.2
552613.1
656016.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394320305060705031

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.4
15.717.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End8.5
red by 9.0
6560
#16
16.21.0
11.910.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End6.5
Second
6948
#19
21.61.4
11.512.9
Auto2.8
Teleop14.0
End4.7
red by 7.3
399
#20
14.21.0
16.015.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End3.7
Third
3021
#26
11.61.4
9.911.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End2.8
blue by 1.5
5526
#28
13.11.0
12.411.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed