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Red53
814.9
473814.0
513717.6
Blue33
325615.8
19216.0
502516.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342303540455055605333

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5137
#12
17.61.4
13.915.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End4.0
red by 0.9
5025
#18
16.70.9
13.212.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.8
End4.0
Second
8
#8
14.91.4
13.915.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.0
End1.6
blue by 1.1
192
#14
16.00.9
16.015.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End4.5
Third
14.01.4
12.213.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.0
End2.2
blue by 1.8
3256
#10
15.80.9
11.510.6
Auto2.3
Teleop10.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed