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Red49
656016.2
502516.7
257625.5
Blue41
694821.6
5858.5
713711.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4435102030405060704941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.4
18.819.3
Auto6.0
Teleop15.8
End3.8
red by 3.9
6948
#19
21.60.9
15.015.9
Auto2.8
Teleop14.0
End4.7
Second
5025
#18
16.70.4
12.312.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.8
End4.0
red by 4.9
7137
#33
11.80.9
10.911.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Third
6560
#16
16.20.4
10.911.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End6.5
red by 7.7
585
#34
8.50.9
7.07.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed