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Red41
742620.0
302111.6
39914.2
Blue41
814.9
364724.7
64029.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374720304050604141

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7426
#23
20.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.7
End3.4
blue by 4.7
24.7
Auto5.2
Teleop15.9
End3.6
Second
399
#20
14.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End3.7
blue by 0.7
8
#8
14.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.0
End1.6
Third
3021
#26
11.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End2.8
red by 1.9
6402
#35
9.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed