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Red56
814.9
694821.6
298411.3
Blue35
115917.4
334116.3
552613.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4946304060705635

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6948
#19
21.60.0
20.420.3
Auto2.8
Teleop14.0
End4.7
red by 4.2
1159
#13
17.40.8
15.815.0
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End3.6
Second
8
#8
14.90.0
16.216.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.0
End1.6
blue by 1.4
3341
#22
16.30.9
14.713.8
Auto2.8
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Third
2984
#29
11.30.0
9.69.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End4.6
blue by 1.9
5526
#28
13.10.8
13.012.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed