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Red55
210225.2
39914.2
64029.7
Blue66
441520.0
502516.7
325520.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445620304050607080905566

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.3
20.221.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End8.5
red by 4.9
3255
#11
20.40.9
18.619.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.6
End7.8
Second
399
#20
14.21.3
13.715.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End3.7
blue by 5.8
20.01.0
18.219.1
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End6.6
Third
6402
#35
9.71.3
7.89.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.1
End1.6
blue by 7.0
5025
#18
16.71.0
16.217.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsEarned77%HAB Docking oddsEarned