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Red47
25320.7
605914.5
691818.6
Blue69
741929.2
392517.6
318912.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615630405070804769

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
253
#25
20.70.7
22.521.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.6
End3.2
blue by 8.5
29.21.1
24.725.8
Auto5.8
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Second
6918
#30
18.60.7
22.621.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End4.2
red by 1.1
3925
#16
17.61.1
18.119.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End3.5
Third
6059
#32
14.50.7
12.411.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End3.7
red by 1.7
3189
#28
12.81.1
10.311.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsEarned