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Red51
325717.6
281314.0
264311.4
Blue9
681413.3
469823.0
549612.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46610204080100120519

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3257
#19
17.60.3
16.416.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End5.5
blue by 5.4
4698
#18
23.03.2
26.222.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End4.6
Second
2813
#38
14.00.3
16.016.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End2.8
red by 0.7
6814
#41
13.33.2
14.411.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Third
2643
#27
11.40.3
11.011.3
Auto5.4
Teleop4.0
End2.0
blue by 1.2
5496
#24
12.63.2
17.013.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed