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Red53
196712.2
617418.9
208523.2
Blue65
264311.4
167837.7
549612.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6260405070805365

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2085
#31
23.20.3
22.121.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.9
End5.6
blue by 14.4
37.70.4
33.934.3
Auto3.1
Teleop26.2
End8.4
Second
6174
#11
18.90.3
20.019.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End4.6
red by 6.3
5496
#24
12.60.4
12.412.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End4.1
Third
1967
#17
12.20.3
14.814.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End2.2
red by 0.7
2643
#27
11.40.4
12.212.7
Auto5.4
Teleop4.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed43%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned65%HAB Docking oddsMissed