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Red40
594018.7
417110.6
255118.3
Blue41
166217.4
617418.9
681413.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485401001502004041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#15
18.70.5
15.915.3
Auto3.4
Teleop12.4
End2.9
blue by 0.2
6174
#11
18.90.8
19.318.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End4.6
Second
2551
#21
18.30.5
19.118.5
Auto2.9
Teleop11.9
End3.5
red by 0.9
1662
#26
17.40.8
19.418.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End5.7
Third
4171
#13
10.60.5
10.29.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End3.6
blue by 2.7
6814
#41
13.30.8
12.011.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed53%HAB Docking oddsMissed