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Red59
527416.8
84111.2
741929.2
Blue35
464310.5
196712.2
281314.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5740020805935

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.4
25.926.3
Auto5.8
Teleop17.3
End6.1
red by 15.2
2813
#38
14.00.2
14.113.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Second
16.80.4
15.515.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.0
End4.3
red by 4.6
1967
#17
12.20.2
13.413.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End2.2
Third
841
#29
11.20.4
12.112.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End3.2
red by 0.8
4643
#37
10.50.2
10.310.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed