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Red55
525010.6
208523.2
605914.5
Blue64
527416.8
25320.7
417110.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5048303540455560655564

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2085
#31
23.20.5
23.323.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.9
End5.6
red by 2.5
253
#25
20.71.3
19.620.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.6
End3.2
Second
6059
#32
14.50.5
13.714.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End3.7
blue by 2.3
16.81.3
15.917.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.0
End4.3
Third
5250
#39
10.60.5
10.310.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End3.0
Level
4171
#13
10.61.3
9.711.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed