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Red47
41599.9
142515.2
325717.6
Blue41
264311.4
196712.2
166217.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4544253035405055604741

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3257
#19
17.60.2
17.918.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End5.5
red by 0.3
1662
#26
17.40.5
18.618.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End5.7
Second
15.20.2
14.114.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End6.1
red by 3.0
1967
#17
12.20.5
13.212.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End2.2
Third
4159
#35
9.90.2
9.79.8
Auto5.2
Teleop3.1
End1.6
blue by 1.6
2643
#27
11.40.5
10.49.9
Auto5.4
Teleop4.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsEarned12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsMissed