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Red42
464310.5
752812.7
527416.8
Blue30
41599.9
417110.6
70112.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40361020305060704230

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.3
17.217.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.0
End4.3
red by 3.8
701
#44
12.90.3
13.212.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.3
End3.6
Second
7528
#20
12.70.3
10.510.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End3.1
red by 2.1
4171
#13
10.60.3
11.010.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End3.6
Third
4643
#37
10.50.3
10.210.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End2.8
red by 0.6
4159
#35
9.90.3
9.89.6
Auto5.2
Teleop3.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed