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Red38
196712.2
525010.6
412317.6
Blue86
385925.1
203513.2
325017.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4455020801001203886

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4123
#33
17.60.2
17.917.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End3.9
blue by 7.5
3859
#10
25.11.4
24.025.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.3
End5.1
Second
1967
#17
12.20.2
12.712.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End2.2
blue by 5.6
3250
#22
17.81.4
16.417.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End4.3
Third
5250
#39
10.60.2
10.810.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End3.0
blue by 2.6
2035
#40
13.21.4
12.013.4
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed