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Red57
208519.7
630511.9
510416.5
Blue95
167833.4
196713.0
325716.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4044203050607080905795

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.71.4
15.416.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End3.2
blue by 13.7
33.42.8
19.822.7
Auto4.5
Teleop20.7
End8.1
Second
5104
#32
16.51.4
15.116.5
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End5.2
red by 0.3
3257
#15
16.22.8
13.816.7
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End4.8
Third
6305
#28
11.91.4
7.99.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End3.5
blue by 1.1
13.02.8
7.810.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsEarned