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Red44
581715.2
630511.9
196713.0
Blue46
545815.1
75111.0
413515.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36350102030506070804446

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#40
15.21.1
12.613.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End3.4
blue by 0.6
4135
#20
15.71.1
11.812.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End5.1
Second
13.01.1
13.114.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End4.5
blue by 2.1
5458
#16
15.11.1
12.413.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End2.2
Third
6305
#28
11.91.1
8.89.8
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End3.5
red by 1.0
751
#43
11.01.1
8.79.9
Auto5.5
Teleop3.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed