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Red40
680419.3
671110.0
58527.8
Blue21
349512.7
318910.8
650612.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3742203050604021

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.2
17.517.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End4.7
red by 6.6
3495
#41
12.72.2
13.511.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End3.3
Second
6711
#34
10.00.2
9.69.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End3.0
blue by 2.5
6506
#18
12.52.2
14.712.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End2.0
Third
5852
#29
7.80.2
8.48.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.0
End2.6
blue by 3.0
3189
#39
10.82.2
11.28.9
Auto1.7
Teleop6.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed