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Red42
330317.1
665713.3
107217.2
Blue51
758915.8
545815.1
208519.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5146102030406070804251

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#24
17.21.9
16.614.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 2.5
19.70.7
17.418.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End3.2
Second
3303
#11
17.11.9
18.216.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.8
red by 1.3
7589
#30
15.80.7
12.913.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.1
End2.2
Third
6657
#31
13.31.9
13.912.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
blue by 1.8
5458
#16
15.10.7
13.514.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed