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Red20
166217.0
52748.5
366911.7
Blue44
688416.0
413515.7
630511.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433920305060702044

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
#14
17.02.8
17.114.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End5.4
red by 1.0
6884
#23
16.00.7
14.615.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Second
3669
#45
11.72.8
13.710.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.1
End0.3
blue by 4.0
4135
#20
15.70.7
12.913.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End5.1
Third
5274
#47
8.52.8
9.76.9
Auto3.8
Teleop1.8
End2.9
blue by 3.5
6305
#28
11.90.7
9.810.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
70%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed