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Red41
397016.9
546114.5
698110.4
Blue48
167115.4
581715.2
75111.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40402530354550554148

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#37
16.90.3
16.416.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End1.6
red by 1.5
1671
#17
15.40.0
14.114.1
Auto6.0
Teleop4.3
End5.1
Second
14.50.3
13.213.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End5.7
blue by 0.7
5817
#40
15.20.0
13.713.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End3.4
Third
6981
#21
10.40.3
8.78.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End3.7
blue by 0.6
751
#43
11.00.0
9.99.9
Auto5.5
Teleop3.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed