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Red72
318910.8
741315.8
132334.6
Blue59
581715.2
572816.1
76616.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534530405060707259

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.62.1
29.431.5
Auto3.6
Teleop21.9
End9.1
red by 17.7
766
#33
16.91.6
14.215.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
7413
#12
15.82.1
12.114.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End3.6
blue by 0.3
5728
#42
16.11.6
14.416.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End3.5
Third
3189
#39
10.82.1
8.911.0
Auto1.7
Teleop6.0
End3.1
blue by 4.3
5817
#40
15.21.6
13.715.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed