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Red51
630511.9
758915.8
397016.9
Blue38
128016.2
142213.3
705712.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4344354050555138

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#37
16.91.0
16.717.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End1.6
red by 0.8
1280
#44
16.20.4
15.815.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End3.4
Second
7589
#30
15.81.0
13.614.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.1
End2.2
red by 2.5
1422
#27
13.30.4
13.613.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End3.7
Third
6305
#28
11.91.0
10.511.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End3.5
blue by 0.1
7057
#35
12.00.4
12.412.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed