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Red74
76616.9
413515.7
502626.2
Blue56
325716.2
70116.3
128016.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57502030406070807456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.21.5
24.325.8
Auto5.5
Teleop11.0
End9.7
red by 9.9
701
#22
16.30.8
16.317.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Second
766
#33
16.91.5
15.817.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 0.7
3257
#15
16.20.8
15.416.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End4.8
Third
4135
#20
15.71.5
13.815.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End5.1
blue by 0.5
1280
#44
16.20.8
15.416.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed