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Red40
630511.9
75111.0
665713.3
Blue41
330317.1
5859.5
469815.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37462030405060704041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6657
#31
13.30.4
13.113.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
blue by 3.8
3303
#11
17.10.5
18.217.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.8
Second
6305
#28
11.90.4
11.511.9
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End3.5
blue by 3.3
15.30.5
15.014.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End2.9
Third
751
#43
11.00.4
10.611.0
Auto5.5
Teleop3.3
End2.2
red by 1.4
585
#26
9.50.3
9.99.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsEarned9%HAB Docking oddsMissed