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Red52
167833.4
248913.4
213512.1
Blue38
196713.0
705712.0
349512.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6641203050607080905238

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.41.2
33.232.0
Auto4.5
Teleop20.7
End8.1
red by 20.4
13.00.1
13.913.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End4.5
Second
2489
#19
13.41.2
15.414.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 0.7
3495
#41
12.70.1
12.812.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End3.3
Third
2135
#46
12.11.2
13.712.5
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End2.4
red by 0.1
7057
#35
12.00.1
12.112.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
16%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed